Luck vs skill
Fantasy Football Schedule Luck
Fantasy football is head-to-head, so opponent timing matters. League History estimates expected wins and schedule luck by comparing actual records against randomized schedules and league scoring context.
Expected wins
Estimate how many wins a manager should have earned from weekly scores independent of the actual schedule.
Strength of schedule
Measure whether managers faced harder or easier opponents than the league baseline.
Score sensitivity
Identify teams whose records changed most because of close matchups and small scoring swings.
Questions This Page Answers
Who was the luckiest fantasy football manager?
Who had the hardest schedule?
Who should have made the playoffs?
Which team was better than its record?